Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.80book 1.90
No44%
ours 2.25book 1.80
All matches
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Asteras Tripolis — Atromitos, Super League
Greece, Super League
Asteras Tripolis
1.4DDLLL
Atromitos
1.6LDDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%27%36%
Asteras TripolisMarket 2.3737%DrawMarket 3.0827%AtromitosMarket 3.1036%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Asteras Tripolis2.732.37-5.5
XDraw3.673.08-5.2
2Atromitos2.773.10+3.8
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAsteras TripolisAtromitosCombined
Goals scored1.001.672.67
Conceded1.671.172.84
Corners9.28.28.7
Cards2.52.55.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Asteras TripolisAtromitos
Asteras Tripolis FC 37%, PAE APS Atromitos Athens 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
Asteras Tripolis FC 37%Draw 27%PAE APS Atromitos Athens 36%
1st half
31 · 39 · 30
2nd half
34 · 40 · 26
Bookmakers: 2.37 · 3.08 · 3.10
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Asteras Tripolis
- awayOFI2:2
- homeAEK Athens1:1
- homeIraklis Thessaloniki0:2
- homeOlympiakos0:1
- awayPanetolikos1:3
Atromitos
- homeKifisias1:2
- awayIraklis Thessaloniki1:1
- homeKalamata1:1
- homePAOK1:2
- awayOlympiakos0:1
Head to head
- 05/02/26Super League4:2
- 04/26/26Super League1:2
- 02/21/26Super League1:2
- 11/30/25Super League1:0
- 05/03/25Super League1:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Kifisias51224:75
Kifisias51224:7510
Kalamata51136:84
Kalamata51136:8411Atromitos50234:72
Atromitos50234:7212Asteras Tripolis50234:92
Asteras Tripolis50234:9213
Volos New50234:92
Volos New50234:9214
Levadiakos50140:91
Levadiakos50140:91Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.