All matches

Deportivo Cali — Junior, Categoria Primera A

Colombia, Categoria Primera A

Deportivo Cali
1.8WWWWW
—
Junior
2.6LLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%27%30%
Deportivo Cali44%Draw27%Junior30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo Cali44%2.29—
XDraw27%3.75—
2Junior30%3.36—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.36

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDeportivo CaliJuniorCombined
Goals scored1.831.333.16
Conceded0.331.171.50
Corners7.88.07.9
Cards2.82.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Deportivo CaliJunior

Asociación Deportivo Cali 44%, CD Popular Junior FC SA 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Asociación Deportivo Cali 44%Draw 27%CD Popular Junior FC SA 30%
1st half
38 · 41 · 22
2nd half
30 · 38 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Deportivo Cali

  • homeAlianza Valledupar3:1
  • homeRionegro Aguilas2:0
  • awayIndependiente Santa Fe1:0
  • homeCucuta Deportivo3:0
  • awayOnce Caldas2:1

Junior

  • awayBucaramanga1:3
  • awayAtletico Nacional1:3
  • homeIndependiente Medellin2:0
  • awayFortaleza CEIF4:1
  • awayAlianza Valledupar0:1

Head to head

  • 04/04/26Categoria Primera A2:1
  • 07/13/25Categoria Primera A0:2
  • 01/26/25Categoria Primera A0:0
  • 11/15/24Categoria Primera A0:3
  • 04/28/24Categoria Primera A0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Independiente Santa Fe351415654:3657
4Deportes Tolima351511946:3456
5Junior361581354:4853
6Deportivo Cali31149840:2551
7Millonarios321211949:3447
8Once Caldas331114848:4147

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.