Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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America Mineiro — Cuiaba, Serie B
Brazil, Serie B
America Mineiro
1.0LLLLW
Cuiaba
1.8WLWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
34%26%40%
America Mineiro34%Draw26%Cuiaba40%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1America Mineiro2.90—
XDraw3.85—
2Cuiaba2.53—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAmerica MineiroCuiabaCombined
Goals scored0.000.830.83
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners11.310.711.0
Cards1.73.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
America MineiroCuiaba
América FC - Minas Gerais 34%, Cuiabá EC 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
América FC - Minas Gerais 34%Draw 26%Cuiabá EC 40%
1st half
35 · 42 · 23
2nd half
28 · 38 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
America Mineiro
- awayAC Goianiense0:2
- homeJuventude0:1
- awayVila Nova0:1
- homeSao Bernardo0:2
- homeNautico2:1
Cuiaba
- homePonte Preta2:0
- awayCRB0:3
- homeNautico3:0
- awayGremio Novorizontino1:1
- homeAthletic (MG)3:0
Head to head
- 07/02/26Serie B0:1
- 11/16/25Serie B1:1
- 07/24/25Serie B1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Operario Ferroviario31139943:4148
Operario Ferroviario31139943:41489
SC do Recife311211842:3347
SC do Recife311211842:334710Cuiaba311113732:2546
Cuiaba311113732:254611
Sao Bernardo311291043:3245
Sao Bernardo311291043:324512
Athletic (MG)311012937:3542
Athletic (MG)311012937:354213
Nautico311191139:3842
Nautico311191139:384214
Goias311261330:3942
Goias311261330:394215
Ceara311091234:3939
Ceara311091234:393916
Botafogo-SP31981434:3735
Botafogo-SP31981434:373517
Avai31861730:4230
Avai31861730:423018
Londrina31771739:4528
Londrina31771739:452819America Mineiro31452221:5217
America Mineiro31452221:521720
Ponte Preta31342417:6613
Ponte Preta31342417:6613Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.