All matches

Al Hilal — Al Ittihad, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Hilal
3.9WLWWW
—
Al Ittihad
3.1WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
66%21%13%
Al HilalMarket 1.2466%DrawMarket 6.5021%Al IttihadMarket 9.0013%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Hilal66%81%1.521.24-14.8
XDraw21%15%4.786.50+5.5
2Al Ittihad13%11%7.509.00+2.2

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.67book 1.57

No40%

ours 2.49book 2.23

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl HilalAl IttihadCombined
Goals scored3.171.835.00
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners8.310.79.5
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al HilalAl Ittihad

Al Hilal FC Riyadh 66%, Al Ittihad FC Jeddah 13%. The safest is “Al Hilal FC Riyadh or draw” at 86%.

Al Hilal FC Riyadh 66%Draw 21%Al Ittihad FC Jeddah 13%
1st half
50 · 33 · 17
2nd half
44 · 35 · 20

Bookmakers: 1.24 · 6.50 · 9.00

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 2.5

72%1.39
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Al Hilal

  • awayAl Taawon6:0
  • homeNeom0:2
  • awayAl Shabab2:0
  • homeAl Ahli Jeddah3:0
  • awayAl Khaleej5:1

Al Ittihad

  • awayAl Faisaly3:1
  • homeAl Feiha2:1
  • homeAl Nassr2:1
  • awayAl Fateh0:0
  • homeAl Hazm3:2

Head to head

  • 02/21/26Professional League1:1
  • 10/24/25Professional League2:0
  • 02/22/25Professional League1:4
  • 09/21/24Professional League3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Al Hilal760123:518
2Al Ittihad752012:617
3Al Nassr751116:716
4Al Qadisiyah751116:816

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.