All matches

Kaiserslautern — VfL Bochum, 2. Bundesliga

Germany, 2. Bundesliga

Kaiserslautern
2.1WLWWD
—
VfL Bochum
1.3LDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%25%31%
Kaiserslautern44%Draw25%VfL Bochum31%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kaiserslautern44%2.26—
XDraw25%3.98—
2VfL Bochum31%3.27—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.71

No41%

ours 2.41

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKaiserslauternVfL BochumCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners11.210.811.0
Cards2.63.25.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KaiserslauternVfL Bochum

1. FC Kaiserslautern 44%, VfL Bochum 1848 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

1. FC Kaiserslautern 44%Draw 25%VfL Bochum 1848 31%
1st half
36 · 38 · 26
2nd half
32 · 37 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Kaiserslautern

  • homeEintracht Braunschweig1:0
  • awayMagdeburg0:3
  • homeDarmstadt 983:0
  • awaySt. Pauli2:1
  • homeKarlsruher SC0:0

VfL Bochum

  • awayHannover 961:2
  • homeGreuther Furth1:1
  • awayDynamo Dresden2:1
  • homeOsnabruck0:1
  • awayEintracht Braunschweig1:0

Head to head

  • 03/07/262. Bundesliga2:3
  • 10/04/252. Bundesliga3:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Heidenheim641114:1213
4Wolfsburg632115:811
5Kaiserslautern63216:411
6Magdeburg631211:910
7Energie Cottbus622214:138
8St. Pauli61418:87
9VfL Bochum62135:67
10Hannover 9662137:97
11Osnabruck62139:127

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.