Zira 1:1 Shamakhi, Premier League
Azerbaijan, Premier LeagueMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedZira58%
Actual: Draw — we had 25%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.564%
- Both teams to score MissedNo52%
Actual: Yes — we had 48%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Zira
- homeShamakhi1:1
- awayTuran-T0:1
- homeQarabag1:1
- awaySabah0:5
- homeNeftchi Baku1:0
Shamakhi
- awayZira1:1
- homeAraz2:1
- awaySumqayit1:1
- awayKapaz4:1
- awayQabala0:0
Head to head
- 10/10/26Premier League1:1
- 04/07/26Premier League1:1
- 12/13/25Premier League1:2
- 09/19/25Premier League2:1
- 03/30/25Premier League3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Qarabag651011:416
Turan-T74217:414Zira73228:911Shamakhi72419:710
Kapaz63126:710
Sumqayit61238:95Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.