All matches

Zamora — Academia Anzoategui, Primera División

Venezuela, Primera División

Zamora
1.2LLLDL
—
Academia Anzoategui
1.0DLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%26%22%
Zamora52%Draw26%Academia Anzoategui22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zamora52%1.93—
XDraw26%3.85—
2Academia Anzoategui22%4.49—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.31

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZamoraAcademia AnzoateguiCombined
Goals scored0.830.331.16
Conceded2.001.503.50
Corners8.68.88.7
Cards3.02.45.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZamoraAcademia Anzoategui

Zamora Fútbol Club 52%, Academia Anzoátegui FC 22%. The safest is “Zamora Fútbol Club or draw” at 75%.

Zamora Fútbol Club 52%Draw 26%Academia Anzoátegui FC 22%
1st half
33 · 41 · 25
2nd half
40 · 38 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Zamora

  • homeMetropolitanos1:3
  • awayMonagas0:1
  • homeTrujillanos1:2
  • awayPortuguesa1:1
  • homeDeportivo Tachira2:5

Academia Anzoategui

  • homeCaracas1:1
  • awayUniversidad Central de Venezuela0:1
  • homeMetropolitanos0:2
  • awayDeportivo La Guaira0:2
  • homeMonagas1:3

Head to head

  • 04/25/26Primera División1:1
  • 09/27/25Primera División2:1
  • 04/20/25Primera División0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Caracas24511824:3126
11Monagas24741326:3525
12Zamora24671124:3525
13Trujillanos24361521:4415
14Academia Anzoategui24351621:4514

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.