Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.20
All matches
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Zamalek SC — Al Ahly SC, Egyptian Premier League
Egypt, Egyptian Premier League
Zamalek SC
WWWWD
Al Ahly SC
WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
25%35%40%
Zamalek SC25%Draw35%Al Ahly SC40%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zamalek SC3.95—
XDraw2.90—
2Al Ahly SC2.49—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Zamalek SCAl Ahly SC
Zamalek SC 25%, Al Ahly SC 40%. The safest is “Al Ahly SC or draw” at 77%.
Zamalek SC 25%Draw 35%Al Ahly SC 40%
1st half
29 · 42 · 29
2nd half
20 · 39 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricZamalek SCAl Ahly SCCombined
Goals scored1.501.833.33
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners6.89.58.2
Cards2.31.33.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Zamalek SC
- awayGhazl El Mehalla1:0
- homeAbu Qair Semad SC2:0
- homePetrojet2:1
- awayNational Bank of Egypt SC3:0
- homeAl Ittihad Al Iskandary0:0
Al Ahly SC
- homeAbu Qair Semad SC2:0
- awayAl Mokawloon Al Arab1:1
- homeSmouha SC1:0
- awayFC Masr2:0
- homeENPPI Club3:2
Head to head
- 05/01/26Egyptian Premier League0:3
- 09/29/25Egyptian Premier League1:2
- 03/11/25Egyptian Premier League3:0
- 02/22/25Egyptian Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Al Assiouty Sport55009:115
Al Assiouty Sport55009:1152Zamalek SC54108:113
Zamalek SC54108:1133Al Ahly SC54109:313
Al Ahly SC54109:3134
Ceramica Cleopatra FC540110:312
Ceramica Cleopatra FC540110:3125
Coca-Cola FC53117:410
Coca-Cola FC53117:410Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.