Zakho 0:1 Newroz, Premier League
Iraq, Premier LeagueMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedZakho35%
Actual: Newroz — we had 32%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.566%
- Both teams to score MissedYes50%
Actual: No — we had 50%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Zakho
- homeNewroz0:1
- awayAl Karma0:1
- homeAl Mosul2:1
- awayAl Jolan1:1
- homeAl Talaba0:0
Newroz
- awayZakho1:0
- awayGhaz Al Shamal0:0
- awayAl Jolan2:0
- homeAl Mosul3:0
- awayNaft Maysan2:0
Head to head
- 10/09/26Premier League0:1
- 05/20/26Premier League1:2
- 10/04/25Premier League4:0
- 05/24/25Premier League0:0
- 09/26/24Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Al Naft953111:518
Al Shorta94419:416Newroz943211:515
Duhok926114:1112
Al Quwa Al Jawiya925214:1211
Al Talaba925210:1111
Al Jolan92528:911
Al Minaa82338:109
Diyala923413:169Zakho92347:129
Ghaz Al Shamal81524:58
Naft Maysan91537:128Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.