All matches

Yunnan Yukun FC — Chongqing Tongliang Long FC, Chinese Super League

China, Chinese Super League

Yunnan Yukun FC
WLDWW
—
Chongqing Tongliang Long FC
LDLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
54%25%21%
Yunnan Yukun FC54%Draw25%Chongqing Tongliang Long FC21%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Yunnan Yukun FC54%1.85—
XDraw25%4.01—
2Chongqing Tongliang Long FC21%4.78—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.32

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricYunnan Yukun FCChongqing Tongliang Long FCCombined
Goals scored2.000.672.67
Conceded1.671.333.00
Corners11.68.810.2
Cards1.01.22.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Yunnan Yukun FCChongqing Tongliang Long FC

Yunnan Yukun FC 54%, Chongqing Tongliang Long FC 21%. The safest is “Yunnan Yukun FC or draw” at 78%.

Yunnan Yukun FC 54%Draw 25%Chongqing Tongliang Long FC 21%
1st half
43 · 36 · 21
2nd half
42 · 35 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Yunnan Yukun FC

  • homeShenyang Urban FC5:0
  • awayZhejiang Professional FC0:6
  • awayBeijing Guoan FC3:3
  • homeDalian Zhixing FC3:1
  • homeChengdu Better City FC1:0

Chongqing Tongliang Long FC

  • homeShanghai Shenhua FC1:3
  • awayHenan Jianye FC1:1
  • homeDalian Zhixing FC0:1
  • awayQingdao Youth Island FC0:0
  • homeShanghai SIPG FC2:3

Head to head

  • 05/20/26Chinese Super League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Dalian Zhixing FC261241038:4240
6Shanghai SIPG FC26108840:3338
7Yunnan Yukun FC261151054:5138
8Qingdao Youth Island FC26814431:3238
9Zhejiang Professional FC261061045:4336
10Tianjin Teda FC2698936:3235
11Henan Jianye FC2689933:3533
12Chongqing Tongliang Long FC26710927:3231
13Sichuan Jiuniu FC26841434:4528
14Wuhan Three Towns FC265111039:4626

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.