Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.59
No37%
ours 2.69
All matches
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York9 FC — Atlético Ottawa, Canadian Premier League
Canada, Canadian Premier League
York9 FC
LWLDL
Atlético Ottawa
WWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%26%38%
York9 FC37%Draw26%Atlético Ottawa38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1York9 FC2.72—
XDraw3.92—
2Atlético Ottawa2.65—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricYork9 FCAtlético OttawaCombined
Goals scored1.670.672.34
Conceded1.671.172.84
Corners8.310.89.5
Cards3.32.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
York9 FCAtlético Ottawa
York9 FC 37%, Atlético Ottawa 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
York9 FC 37%Draw 26%Atlético Ottawa 38%
1st half
41 · 32 · 27
2nd half
26 · 38 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
York9 FC
- homeSupra du Québec1:2
- homeCavalry FC3:1
- homePacific FC3:4
- awayVancouver FC3:3
- awayHFX Wanderers FC1:4
Atlético Ottawa
- homeCavalry FC3:2
- awayHFX Wanderers FC1:0
- homeSupra du Québec0:2
- awayForge FC0:3
- homePacific FC0:0
Head to head
- 08/28/26Canadian Premier League1:2
- 07/17/26Canadian Premier League1:1
- 05/01/26Canadian Premier League4:1
- 09/14/25Canadian Premier League2:2
- 08/03/25Canadian Premier League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Cavalry FC25165451:1953
Cavalry FC25165451:19532
Forge FC25156441:2051
Forge FC25156441:20513Atlético Ottawa25124938:4140
Atlético Ottawa25124938:41404
Vancouver FC25961035:3333
Vancouver FC25961035:33335
Supra du Québec25941238:4531
Supra du Québec25941238:45316
HFX Wanderers FC25761238:4227
HFX Wanderers FC25761238:42277York9 FC25691040:5627
York9 FC25691040:56278
Pacific FC25281530:5514
Pacific FC25281530:5514Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.