All matches

Yeovil Town — Altrincham, National League

England, National League

Yeovil Town
WDWWD
—
Altrincham
LWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
41%27%33%
Yeovil Town41%Draw27%Altrincham33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Yeovil Town41%2.47—
XDraw27%3.75—
2Altrincham33%3.05—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 1.98

No50%

ours 2.02

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos: result and total

Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.

Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.

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Combos: result and corners

The result comes from the goals model, corners from the corners model. The link between them is measured on 66,000 played matches: the winning side usually takes fewer corners, because the team chasing the game does the crossing. The market has no odds for these combinations — this is our estimate only.

Corner combos come with a subscription: probability and fair odds for all 48 combinations.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricYeovil TownAltrinchamCombined
Goals scored2.171.503.67
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners10.08.69.3
Cards1.42.23.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Yeovil TownAltrincham

Yeovil Town FC 41%, Altrincham FC 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Yeovil Town FC 41%Draw 27%Altrincham FC 33%
1st half
30 · 42 · 29
2nd half
34 · 40 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Yeovil Town

  • homeBoston United6:0
  • homeWorthing1:1
  • awayKidderminster Harriers1:0
  • homeSolihull Moors4:1
  • awayAldershot Town1:1

Altrincham

  • awayBoreham Wood1:3
  • awayGateshead1:0
  • homeHornchurch3:0
  • awayAFC Fylde2:1
  • homeHartlepool United2:1

Head to head

  • 02/07/26National League1:0
  • 09/27/25National League1:0
  • 04/05/25National League1:2
  • 09/14/24National League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Harrogate Town1281328:1725
3Southend United1273229:1824
4Yeovil Town1264226:1522
5Worthing1263322:1821
6Altrincham1270517:1821
7AFC Fylde1262422:1820
8Kidderminster Harriers1254315:1219

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.