All matches

Wels — Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz, 2. Liga

Austria, 2. Liga

Wels
LLLDL
—
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz
LWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
41%24%35%
WelsMarket 3.1041%DrawMarket 3.5624%Schwarz-Weiss BregenzMarket 2.1035%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Wels41%32%2.423.10+9.0
XDraw24%28%4.193.56-4.2
2Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz35%48%2.872.10-12.8

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.61book 1.56

No38%

ours 2.63book 2.28

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos: result and total

Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricWelsSchwarz-Weiss BregenzCombined
Goals scored1.331.833.16
Conceded2.501.173.67
Corners12.07.79.8
Cards2.73.36.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

WelsSchwarz-Weiss Bregenz

WSPG HOGO Wels 41%, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

WSPG HOGO Wels 41%Draw 24%Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 35%
1st half
36 · 37 · 27
2nd half
32 · 35 · 33

Bookmakers: 3.10 · 3.56 · 2.10

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Wels

  • homeFirst Vienna1:3
  • awayFC Blau-Weiß Linz1:4
  • homeAdmira Wacker1:3
  • awayAmstetten1:1
  • homeRapid Wien II1:2

Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz

  • awaySt. Polten1:2
  • homeFloridsdorfer AC4:0
  • awayAustria Wien II0:2
  • homeSturm Graz II3:1
  • awayVoitsberg0:0

Head to head

  • 04/24/262. Liga3:2
  • 11/01/252. Liga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Austria Salzburg731314:1210
8Liefering731314:1510
9Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz731311:1210
10St. Polten73046:69
11Admira Wacker73047:89
12Voitsberg723210:129
13Sturm Graz II722315:188
14Rapid Wien II72057:176
15Wels71158:174
16Kapfenberg71069:173

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.