All matches

Wigan Athletic — Bromley, EFL League One

England, EFL League One

Wigan Athletic
LDLWL
—
Bromley
WDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%25%22%
Wigan Athletic53%Draw25%Bromley22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Wigan Athletic53%1.88—
XDraw25%4.03—
2Bromley22%4.57—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.04

No51%

ours 1.96

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Wigan AthleticBromley

Wigan Athletic FC 53%, Bromley FC 22%. The safest is “Wigan Athletic FC or draw” at 78%.

Wigan Athletic FC 53%Draw 25%Bromley FC 22%
1st half
42 · 43 · 16
2nd half
42 · 33 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricWigan AthleticBromleyCombined
Goals scored0.000.000.00
Conceded0.000.000.00
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Wigan Athletic

  • homeWycombe Wanderers0:1
  • awaySheffield Wednesday FC0:0
  • homeStockport County0:4
  • homeMK Dons3:1
  • awayAFC Wimbledon0:1

Bromley

  • homeHuddersfield Town2:1
  • awayBlackpool2:2
  • homeAFC Wimbledon0:2
  • homeLeyton Orient0:5
  • awaySheffield Wednesday FC2:7

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
17Mansfield Town722310:138
18Barnsley72237:128
19Bromley72238:188
20Notts County71427:97
21Doncaster Rovers71338:96
22MK Dons70618:106
23Peterborough United81254:135
24Wigan Athletic71155:124

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.