Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.72
No42%
ours 2.39
All matches
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West Bromwich — Southampton, Championship
England, Championship
West Bromwich
1.7LDWWD
Southampton
1.9LWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%26%38%
West Bromwich36%Draw26%Southampton38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1West Bromwich2.78—
XDraw3.86—
2Southampton2.62—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricWest BromwichSouthamptonCombined
Goals scored0.000.170.17
Conceded0.170.330.50
Corners15.05.010.0
Cards2.04.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
West BromwichSouthampton
West Bromwich Albion FC 36%, Southampton FC 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
West Bromwich Albion FC 36%Draw 26%Southampton FC 38%
1st half
36 · 38 · 26
2nd half
30 · 38 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
West Bromwich
- awayWolverhampton0:1
- homeQPR1:1
- awayDerby County1:0
- homeWatford1:0
- homeCharlton Athletic1:1
Southampton
- awayWrexham1:2
- homeBristol City4:1
- homeSwansea City3:1
- awayLincoln City1:1
- awayBirmingham City1:1
Head to head
- 03/11/26Championship1:1
- 12/09/25Championship2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
West Ham843122:1115
West Ham843122:11153
Middlesbrough843116:1215
Middlesbrough843116:12154Southampton842219:1014
Southampton842219:10145
Wolverhampton742115:1014
Wolverhampton742115:10146West Bromwich842210:814
West Bromwich842210:8147
QPR834110:713
QPR834110:7138
Stoke City841313:1213
Stoke City841313:1213Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.