Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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Watford — Charlton Athletic, Championship
England, Championship
Watford
1.3LLWLL
Charlton Athletic
1.5LDDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%27%27%
Watford47%Draw27%Charlton Athletic27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Watford2.14—
XDraw3.76—
2Charlton Athletic3.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricWatfordCharlton AthleticCombined
Goals scored0.500.170.67
Conceded0.831.172.00
Corners8.811.09.9
Cards2.51.84.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
WatfordCharlton Athletic
Watford FC 47%, Charlton Athletic FC 27%. The safest is “Watford FC or draw” at 76%.
Watford FC 47%Draw 27%Charlton Athletic FC 27%
1st half
41 · 39 · 20
2nd half
34 · 40 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Watford
- awayBristol City0:1
- homeStoke City1:2
- homePreston2:1
- awayWest Bromwich0:1
- awaySwansea City0:2
Charlton Athletic
- awayCardiff City1:3
- homePortsmouth0:0
- homeQPR0:0
- awayStoke City0:4
- awayWest Bromwich1:1
Head to head
- 04/06/26Championship1:1
- 08/09/25Championship0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Stoke City841313:1213
Stoke City841313:12139
Bristol City841311:1213
Bristol City841311:121310Charlton Athletic83327:1012
Charlton Athletic83327:101211
Birmingham City825112:1111
Birmingham City825112:111112
Millwall832315:1511
Millwall832315:151113
Lincoln City83237:811
Lincoln City83237:81114
Wrexham82429:1210
Wrexham82429:121015
Bolton Wanderers831411:1510
Bolton Wanderers831411:151016
Blackburn Rovers823312:129
Blackburn Rovers823312:12917
Norwich City830516:179
Norwich City830516:17918
Sheffield United82339:119
Sheffield United82339:11919
Portsmouth72239:108
Portsmouth72239:10820Watford82247:108
Watford82247:10821
Cardiff City814310:127
Cardiff City814310:12722
Derby County81257:145
Derby County81257:145Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.