All matches

Waterford — Galway United, Premier Division

Republic of Ireland, Premier Division

Waterford
1.4LDDWD
—
Galway United
1.6DLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
47%27%26%
Waterford47%Draw27%Galway United26%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Waterford47%2.15—
XDraw27%3.71—
2Galway United26%3.78—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.68

No41%

ours 2.46

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricWaterfordGalway UnitedCombined
Goals scored1.171.172.34
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners13.49.011.2
Cards1.82.03.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

WaterfordGalway United

Waterford FC 47%, Galway United FC 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Waterford FC 47%Draw 27%Galway United FC 26%
1st half
43 · 33 · 24
2nd half
33 · 40 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 8.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Waterford

  • awayShamrock Rovers2:3
  • homeDerry City2:2
  • homeDundalk1:1
  • awaySt Patrick's2:0
  • awaySligo Rovers0:0

Galway United

  • homeShelbourne1:1
  • awayDerry City0:1
  • awaySligo Rovers3:1
  • homeBohemians2:3
  • homeShelbourne1:1

Head to head

  • 07/25/26Premier Division0:0
  • 04/24/26Premier Division1:1
  • 03/16/26Premier Division3:4
  • 11/01/25Premier Division1:1
  • 07/25/25Premier Division4:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Dundalk3310111250:5541
6Shelbourne329131042:4540
7Galway United329111242:4838
8Waterford327131244:5434
9Drogheda United328101438:5134
10Sligo Rovers32581924:5423

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.