All matches

Volos New — Panathinaikos, Super League

Greece, Super League

Volos New
1.0LLDDL
—
Panathinaikos
3.2WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
14%19%66%
Volos New14%Draw19%Panathinaikos66%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Volos New14%7.05—
XDraw19%5.14—
2Panathinaikos66%1.51—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVolos NewPanathinaikosCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded1.170.001.17
Corners7.59.08.3
Cards4.01.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Volos NewPanathinaikos

Volos New Football Club 14%, Panathinaikos FC 66%. The safest is “Panathinaikos FC or draw” at 80%.

Volos New Football Club 14%Draw 19%Panathinaikos FC 66%
1st half
23 · 38 · 39
2nd half
22 · 37 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Volos New

  • homeAEK Athens1:2
  • awayKalamata1:3
  • homeOlympiakos1:1
  • homeIraklis Thessaloniki1:1
  • awayOFI0:2

Panathinaikos

  • awayKalamata1:0
  • homePanetolikos3:0
  • homeKifisias3:1
  • homePAOK3:1
  • awayLevadiakos2:0

Head to head

  • 12/14/25Super League1:2
  • 11/01/25Super League1:0
  • 02/16/25Super League1:2
  • 11/03/24Super League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos550012:215
2PAOK540112:512
3AEK Athens532013:311
4OFI53118:410
5Olympiakos53114:210
6Panetolikos53028:79
7Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
8Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
9Kifisias51224:75
10Kalamata51136:84
11Atromitos50234:72
12Asteras Tripolis50234:92
13Volos New50234:92
14Levadiakos50140:91

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.