Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.93
No48%
ours 2.07
All matches
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Vissel Kobe — FC Machida Zelvia, J1 League
Japan, J1 League
Vissel Kobe
WWWWW
FC Machida Zelvia
LDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%26%28%
Vissel Kobe47%Draw26%FC Machida Zelvia28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vissel Kobe2.15—
XDraw3.89—
2FC Machida Zelvia3.61—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVissel KobeFC Machida ZelviaCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners6.39.37.8
Cards0.01.31.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Vissel KobeFC Machida Zelvia
Vissel Kobe 47%, FC Machida Zelvia 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Vissel Kobe 47%Draw 26%FC Machida Zelvia 28%
1st half
36 · 43 · 21
2nd half
36 · 39 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Vissel Kobe
- awayGamba Osaka1:0
- homeKashima Antlers2:1
- homeV-Varen Nagasaki3:1
- awayTokyo Verdy2:0
- homeCerezo Osaka1:0
FC Machida Zelvia
- homeKashiwa Reysol2:4
- homeYokohama F. Marinos1:1
- awayNagoya Grampus3:1
- homeKawasaki Frontale2:1
- awayMito Hollyhock1:1
Head to head
- 08/10/25J1 League0:2
- 04/20/25J1 League1:0
- 06/26/24J1 League0:0
- 04/13/24J1 League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Vissel Kobe861112:519
Vissel Kobe861112:5192
Kashiwa Reysol860217:1218
Kashiwa Reysol860217:12183
Sanfrecce Hiroshima852120:617
Sanfrecce Hiroshima852120:6174FC Machida Zelvia852121:1017
FC Machida Zelvia852121:10175
FC Tokyo852114:817
FC Tokyo852114:8176
Yokohama F. Marinos842213:914
Yokohama F. Marinos842213:914Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.