Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.68
No40%
ours 2.47
All matches
—
Wolfsburg — Osnabruck, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
1.4WLDWW
Osnabruck
1.8DLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%24%22%
Wolfsburg54%Draw24%Osnabruck22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Wolfsburg1.84—
XDraw4.21—
2Osnabruck4.58—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricWolfsburgOsnabruckCombined
Goals scored1.500.832.33
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners13.010.011.5
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
WolfsburgOsnabruck
VfL Wolfsburg 54%, VfL Osnabrück 22%. The safest is “VfL Wolfsburg or draw” at 81%.
VfL Wolfsburg 54%Draw 24%VfL Osnabrück 22%
1st half
47 · 34 · 18
2nd half
39 · 36 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Wolfsburg
- homeDarmstadt 985:1
- awaySt. Pauli0:1
- homeEnergie Cottbus4:4
- awayKarlsruher SC5:2
- awayHannover 961:0
Osnabruck
- awayHolstein Kiel1:1
- homeHertha Berlin1:3
- homeEintracht Braunschweig3:1
- awayVfL Bochum1:0
- homeMagdeburg0:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Nurnberg651016:616
Nurnberg651016:6163
Heidenheim641114:1213
Heidenheim641114:12134Wolfsburg632115:811
Wolfsburg632115:8115
Kaiserslautern63216:411
Kaiserslautern63216:4116
Magdeburg631211:910
Magdeburg631211:9107
Energie Cottbus622214:138
Energie Cottbus622214:1388
St. Pauli61418:87
St. Pauli61418:879
VfL Bochum62135:67
VfL Bochum62135:6710
Hannover 9662137:97
Hannover 9662137:9711Osnabruck62139:127
Osnabruck62139:12712
Greuther Furth61329:116
Greuther Furth61329:11613
Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
Arminia Bielefeld612310:125Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.