Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64book 1.58
No39%
ours 2.57book 2.21
All matches
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Ventforet Kofu — Tochigi City, J2 League
Japan, J2 League
Ventforet Kofu
LLLLW
Tochigi City
LLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%24%35%
Ventforet KofuMarket 2.9840%DrawMarket 3.4224%Tochigi CityMarket 2.0935%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ventforet Kofu2.472.98+6.9
XDraw4.153.42-5.2
2Tochigi City2.822.09-12.4
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVentforet KofuTochigi CityCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded1.832.003.83
Corners8.29.89.0
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Ventforet KofuTochigi City
Ventforet Kofu 40%, Tochigi City FC 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Ventforet Kofu 40%Draw 24%Tochigi City FC 35%
1st half
39 · 39 · 23
2nd half
29 · 34 · 38
Bookmakers: 2.98 · 3.42 · 2.09
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Ventforet Kofu
- homeKataller Toyama1:2
- awayOmiya Ardija1:5
- homeTokushima Vortis0:1
- homeJubilo Iwata0:1
- awayMontedio Yamagata2:1
Tochigi City
- homeFC Imabari1:2
- awayTokushima Vortis0:3
- homeVegalta Sendai1:3
- awayKataller Toyama0:0
- awayConsadole Sapporo4:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Tegevajaro Miyazaki933313:1312
Tegevajaro Miyazaki933313:131212
Oita Trinita92529:711
Oita Trinita92529:71113Tochigi City931515:1510
Tochigi City931515:151014
Jubilo Iwata931511:1310
Jubilo Iwata931511:131015
Vanraure Hachinohe93155:1410
Vanraure Hachinohe93155:141016
Iwaki FC930612:179
Iwaki FC930612:17917
Sagan Tosu92258:128
Sagan Tosu92258:12818
Consadole Sapporo922512:188
Consadole Sapporo922512:18819
FC Imabari92169:187
FC Imabari92169:18720Ventforet Kofu92167:177
Ventforet Kofu92167:177Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.