Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.97
No49%
ours 2.03
All matches
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Veles Moskva — FK Shinnik Yaroslavl, FNL
Russia, FNL
Veles Moskva
LDLDW
FK Shinnik Yaroslavl
DLDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%29%27%
Veles Moskva44%Draw29%FK Shinnik Yaroslavl27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Veles Moskva2.25—
XDraw3.49—
2FK Shinnik Yaroslavl3.70—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVeles MoskvaFK Shinnik YaroslavlCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded1.000.671.67
Corners7.89.48.6
Cards2.22.64.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Veles MoskvaFK Shinnik Yaroslavl
Veles Moskva 44%, FK Shinnik Yaroslavl 27%. The safest is “Veles Moskva or draw” at 75%.
Veles Moskva 44%Draw 29%FK Shinnik Yaroslavl 27%
1st half
32 · 42 · 26
2nd half
40 · 44 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Veles Moskva
- homeFK Volga Ulyanovsk1:2
- awayFK Torpedo Moskva1:1
- homeFK Sochi1:2
- awayFK Ufa1:1
- awayFC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo1:0
FK Shinnik Yaroslavl
- homeFK SKA-Khabarovsk0:0
- homeFK KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny0:1
- homeFK Ural1:1
- homeFK Rotor Volgograd2:2
- awayFK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk0:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
FK Spartak Kostroma1273216:1024
FK Spartak Kostroma1273216:10244
FK Sochi1272321:1423
FK Sochi1272321:14235Veles Moskva1372417:1623
Veles Moskva1372417:16236
FK Torpedo Moskva1263321:921
FK Torpedo Moskva1263321:9217
FK Ufa1246216:1318
FK Ufa1246216:13188
FK Rotor Volgograd1252520:1417
FK Rotor Volgograd1252520:14179FK Shinnik Yaroslavl1237215:1316
FK Shinnik Yaroslavl1237215:131610
FK Volga Ulyanovsk1342716:1914
FK Volga Ulyanovsk1342716:191411
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk1235415:2014
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk1235415:2014Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.