Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.73
No42%
ours 2.38
All matches
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Vancouver FC — HFX Wanderers FC, Canadian Premier League
Canada, Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC
DDDLW
HFX Wanderers FC
DLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%26%29%
Vancouver FC44%Draw26%HFX Wanderers FC29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vancouver FC2.27—
XDraw3.78—
2HFX Wanderers FC3.39—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVancouver FCHFX Wanderers FCCombined
Goals scored1.501.673.17
Conceded1.671.333.00
Corners10.27.48.8
Cards1.41.02.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Vancouver FCHFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC 44%, HFX Wanderers FC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Vancouver FC 44%Draw 26%HFX Wanderers FC 29%
1st half
40 · 36 · 25
2nd half
29 · 41 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Vancouver FC
- homeForge FC1:1
- homeYork9 FC3:3
- awayPacific FC1:1
- awayYork9 FC1:3
- homeSupra du Québec3:2
HFX Wanderers FC
- awayForge FC3:3
- homeAtlético Ottawa0:1
- homeYork9 FC4:1
- awaySupra du Québec2:0
- homeCavalry FC1:3
Head to head
- 08/22/26Canadian Premier League0:1
- 05/30/26Canadian Premier League0:1
- 04/04/26Canadian Premier League0:1
- 09/28/25Canadian Premier League3:1
- 08/04/25Canadian Premier League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Forge FC25156441:2051
Forge FC25156441:20513
Atlético Ottawa25124938:4140
Atlético Ottawa25124938:41404Vancouver FC25961035:3333
Vancouver FC25961035:33335
Supra du Québec25941238:4531
Supra du Québec25941238:45316HFX Wanderers FC25761238:4227
HFX Wanderers FC25761238:42277
York9 FC25691040:5627
York9 FC25691040:56278
Pacific FC25281530:5514
Pacific FC25281530:5514Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.