All matches

Valur — FH Hafnarfjordur, Úrvalsdeild

Iceland, Úrvalsdeild

Valur
2.2DWWDL
—
FH Hafnarfjordur
1.8WWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%23%26%
ValurMarket 2.1951%DrawMarket 3.9423%FH HafnarfjordurMarket 2.7126%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Valur51%46%1.972.19+5.0
XDraw23%25%4.383.94-2.6
2FH Hafnarfjordur26%37%3.782.71-10.4

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes66%

ours 1.52book 1.27

No34%

ours 2.92book 3.42

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricValurFH HafnarfjordurCombined
Goals scored2.172.174.34
Conceded1.831.503.33
Corners12.011.711.8
Cards1.82.24.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ValurFH Hafnarfjordur

Valur Reykjavík 51%, FH Hafnarfjördur 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.

Valur Reykjavík 51%Draw 23%FH Hafnarfjördur 26%
1st half
39 · 34 · 27
2nd half
39 · 36 · 25

Bookmakers: 2.19 · 3.94 · 2.71

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 2.5

68%1.23
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Valur

  • awayIB Vestmannaeyja1:1
  • homeThor Akureyri4:1
  • awayKeflavik IF2:1
  • homeIA Akranes2:2
  • awayVikingur Reykjavik0:2

FH Hafnarfjordur

  • homeStjarnan5:2
  • homeKA3:0
  • awayThor Akureyri0:1
  • homeKeflavik IF2:1
  • awayIA Akranes1:1

Head to head

  • 07/12/26Úrvalsdeild0:2
  • 04/23/26Úrvalsdeild3:0
  • 10/19/25Úrvalsdeild4:4
  • 07/27/25Úrvalsdeild3:1
  • 05/04/25Úrvalsdeild0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Breidablik2496947:4633
5IA Akranes2496944:4733
6Valur24941144:4731
7Stjarnan24941146:5531
8Keflavik IF24851136:4429
9FH Hafnarfjordur2469935:4127
10KA24651338:5123
11Thor Akureyri24631523:5721

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.