All matches

VPS — Inter Turku, Veikkausliiga

Finland, Veikkausliiga

VPS
1.7LLWLW
—
Inter Turku
3.0WWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
28%25%47%
VPS28%Draw25%Inter Turku47%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1VPS28%3.56—
XDraw25%4.05—
2Inter Turku47%2.12—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.90

No47%

ours 2.11

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVPSInter TurkuCombined
Goals scored0.170.500.67
Conceded0.500.330.83
Corners10.36.08.2
Cards4.01.75.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

VPSInter Turku

Vaasan Palloseura 28%, FC Inter Turku 47%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Vaasan Palloseura 28%Draw 25%FC Inter Turku 47%
1st half
31 · 37 · 32
2nd half
25 · 41 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

VPS

  • homeKuPS0:2
  • awayInter Turku0:1
  • homeOulu1:0
  • homeLahti0:1
  • awayIlves1:0

Inter Turku

  • awayOulu1:0
  • homeVPS1:0
  • awayHJK1:2
  • homeKuPS1:0
  • awayCopenhagen1:4

Head to head

  • 09/14/26Veikkausliiga0:1
  • 08/02/26Veikkausliiga0:1
  • 04/04/26Veikkausliiga0:0
  • 08/31/25Veikkausliiga1:2
  • 04/19/25Veikkausliiga0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1KuPS25139341:2448
2Inter Turku25139332:1848
3HJK25126739:2942
4Gnistan25118640:3241
5Lahti25106930:2436
6VPS25106930:2536
7Ilves251041142:3834
8Oulu251041126:2934

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.