All matches

USM Khenchela — JS Kabylie, Ligue 1

Algeria, Ligue 1

USM Khenchela
1.9LWLDD
  
JS Kabylie
2.4DWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%30%30%
USM Khenchela40%Draw30%JS Kabylie30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1USM Khenchela40%2.51—
XDraw30%3.32—
2JS Kabylie30%3.34—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2295 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2290 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2279 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

USM KhenchelaJS Kabylie

USM Khenchela 40%, JS de Kabylie 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

USM Khenchela 40%Draw 30%JS de Kabylie 30%
1st half
32 · 45 · 23
2nd half
34 · 42 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Over 22.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUSM KhenchelaJS KabylieCombined
Goals scored0.600.601.20
Conceded0.600.401.00
Corners9.49.29.3
Cards1.02.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

USM Khenchela
  • Unbeaten at home in 8 matches2:0, 1:1, 0:0, 1:0, 2:1
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:1, 2:0, 0:1, 1:1, 0:0
  • 2 goals or fewer in 5 of the last 5
JS Kabylie
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:1, 1:0, 0:1, 1:0, 0:0
  • Won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings1:2, 1:0, 1:0, 1:0
  • 2 goals or fewer in 5 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

USM Khenchela

  • awayMC Oran0:1
  • homeCS Constantine2:0
  • awayCR Belouizdad0:1
  • homeES Ben Aknoun1:1
  • homeUSM Alger0:0

JS Kabylie

  • awayES Setif1:1
  • homeASO Chlef1:0
  • awayTemouchent0:1
  • homeMB Rouisset1:0
  • homeCR Belouizdad0:0

Head to head

  • 03/13/26Ligue 12:1
  • 10/21/25Ligue 10:1
  • 04/04/25Ligue 10:1
  • 10/26/24Ligue 10:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5MC Alger32104:17
6JS El Biar621312:117
7JS Kabylie42113:27
8Akbou52126:67
9CS Constantine621311:127
10ES Ben Aknoun51317:76
11ES Setif51226:45
12USM Khenchela51223:35
13Temouchent51132:64
14ASO Chlef50234:92

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.