Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
—
Mondorf — Wiltz 71, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
Mondorf
2.9LLWWW
Wiltz 71
1.2LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
73%17%10%
Mondorf73%Draw17%Wiltz 7110%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mondorf1.38—
XDraw5.81—
2Wiltz 719.88—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMondorfWiltz 71Combined
Goals scored1.500.832.33
Conceded1.172.834.00
Corners9.35.87.5
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MondorfWiltz 71
US Mondorf-les-Bains 73%, FC Wiltz 71 10%. The safest is “US Mondorf-les-Bains or draw” at 84%.
US Mondorf-les-Bains 73%Draw 17%FC Wiltz 71 10%
1st half
46 · 35 · 19
2nd half
44 · 36 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Mondorf
- awayResidence Walferdange1:2
- homeUNA Strassen1:2
- awayAtert Bissen2:1
- homeProgres Niederkorn2:1
- awayJeunesse Esch3:1
Wiltz 71
- awayAtert Bissen2:4
- homeProgres Niederkorn1:2
- awayJeunesse Esch1:5
- homeDudelange1:2
- awayVictoria Rosport0:4
Head to head
- 03/09/25National Division2:0
- 09/15/24National Division3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
UNA Strassen880017:224
UNA Strassen880017:2242
Differdange870118:621
Differdange870118:6213Mondorf860216:1118
Mondorf860216:11184
Racing Union852122:717
Racing Union852122:7175
Progres Niederkorn851213:516
Progres Niederkorn851213:5166
Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
Atert Bissen850318:1115
Atert Bissen850318:11158
Residence Walferdange850316:1015
Residence Walferdange850316:10159
Hostert832314:1111
Hostert832314:111110
Jeunesse Esch821514:177
Jeunesse Esch821514:17711
Dudelange82158:157
Dudelange82158:15712
Rumelange82068:236
Rumelange82068:23613
Victoria Rosport812511:205
Victoria Rosport812511:20514
Etzella Ettelbruck81256:155
Etzella Ettelbruck81256:15515Wiltz 71811614:224
Wiltz 71811614:22416
Swift Hesperange80082:300
Swift Hesperange80082:300Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.