All matches

US Cremonese — SS Juve Stabia, Serie B

Italy, Serie B

US Cremonese
1.3DDWLL
—
SS Juve Stabia
DDLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%27%21%
US Cremonese52%Draw27%SS Juve Stabia21%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1US Cremonese52%1.91—
XDraw27%3.70—
2SS Juve Stabia21%4.84—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.84

No46%

ours 2.19

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUS CremoneseSS Juve StabiaCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded1.001.002.00
Corners7.89.38.5
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

US CremoneseSS Juve Stabia

US Cremonese 52%, SS Juve Stabia 21%. The safest is “US Cremonese or draw” at 79%.

US Cremonese 52%Draw 27%SS Juve Stabia 21%
1st half
35 · 40 · 25
2nd half
49 · 36 · 15
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

US Cremonese

  • homeACD Virtus Entella0:0
  • awayAC Cesena2:2
  • homeCalcio Padova Spa3:1
  • homeModena FC0:3
  • awayEmpoli FC0:1

SS Juve Stabia

  • homeAC Cesena1:1
  • awayVicenza Calcio1:1
  • homeAC Pisa 19090:3
  • awayUC Sampdoria2:1
  • awayUS Città di Palermo0:1

Head to head

  • 05/25/25Serie B3:0
  • 05/21/25Serie B1:2
  • 04/13/25Serie B1:1
  • 10/20/24Serie B2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:136
14ACD Virtus Entella51227:65
15US Cremonese51225:75
16Vicenza Calcio51227:105
17SS Juve Stabia51224:75
18UC Sampdoria51135:94
19Catanzaro Calcio 201151045:93

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.