Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.46
All matches
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Urawa Red Diamonds — V-Varen Nagasaki, J1 League
Japan, J1 League
Urawa Red Diamonds
WLWWW
V-Varen Nagasaki
DWLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
50%24%26%
Urawa Red Diamonds50%Draw24%V-Varen Nagasaki26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Urawa Red Diamonds1.99—
XDraw4.16—
2V-Varen Nagasaki3.91—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUrawa Red DiamondsV-Varen NagasakiCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners12.07.09.5
Cards1.31.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Urawa Red DiamondsV-Varen Nagasaki
Urawa Red Diamonds 50%, V-Varen Nagasaki 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Urawa Red Diamonds 50%Draw 24%V-Varen Nagasaki 26%
1st half
44 · 37 · 19
2nd half
35 · 35 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Urawa Red Diamonds
- homeTokyo Verdy3:1
- homeFagiano Okayama1:2
- awayKashima Antlers1:0
- awayAvispa Fukuoka3:2
- homeYokohama F. Marinos3:2
V-Varen Nagasaki
- homeCerezo Osaka1:1
- homeNagoya Grampus2:0
- awayVissel Kobe1:3
- homeGamba Osaka2:2
- homeFC Tokyo0:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Kashima Antlers841317:1613
Kashima Antlers841317:16139
Fagiano Okayama841311:1013
Fagiano Okayama841311:101310Urawa Red Diamonds840416:1812
Urawa Red Diamonds840416:181211
Cerezo Osaka83237:1211
Cerezo Osaka83237:121112
Shimizu S-Pulse83146:810
Shimizu S-Pulse83146:81013
Mito Hollyhock823311:119
Mito Hollyhock823311:11914
Kyoto Sanga FC822411:158
Kyoto Sanga FC822411:15815V-Varen Nagasaki822410:158
V-Varen Nagasaki822410:15816
Gamba Osaka81348:146
Gamba Osaka81348:14617
Nagoya Grampus82067:146
Nagoya Grampus82067:146Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.