All matches

Union Cocle — Universitario, LPF

Panama, LPF

Union Cocle
1.7LLLLL
—
Universitario
1.5LWDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%30%33%
Union Cocle37%Draw30%Universitario33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Union Cocle37%2.70—
XDraw30%3.29—
2Universitario33%3.06—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 2.01

No50%

ours 1.99

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUnion CocleUniversitarioCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded1.670.672.34
Corners7.012.09.5
Cards1.52.33.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Union CocleUniversitario

Unión Coclé FC 37%, CD Universitario 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.

Unión Coclé FC 37%Draw 30%CD Universitario 33%
1st half
30 · 43 · 27
2nd half
28 · 42 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Union Cocle

  • awaySporting San Miguelito1:3
  • homePlaza Amador1:2
  • awayUMECIT0:1
  • awayArabe Unido1:4
  • homeTauro0:2

Universitario

  • awayPlaza Amador1:2
  • homeUMECIT2:1
  • awayAlianza0:0
  • awayTauro0:1
  • homeSporting San Miguelito1:1

Head to head

  • 08/15/26LPF1:1
  • 04/12/26LPF0:2
  • 02/08/26LPF0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Alianza1135311:1014
8Independiente de La Chorrera1125415:1711
9Universitario1125410:1211
10Sporting San Miguelito1125411:1411
11Herrera1123610:239
12Union Cocle111288:215

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.