Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.03
No51%
ours 1.97
All matches
—
Umraniyespor — Sivasspor, 1. Lig
Turkey, 1. Lig
Umraniyespor
WLLLD
Sivasspor
1.4DDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%30%31%
Umraniyespor39%Draw30%Sivasspor31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Umraniyespor2.55—
XDraw3.30—
2Sivasspor3.28—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos: result and total
Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.
Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.
Sign upCombos: result and corners
The result comes from the goals model, corners from the corners model. The link between them is measured on 66,000 played matches: the winning side usually takes fewer corners, because the team chasing the game does the crossing. The market has no ready line for these combinations, so «Market» here is a parlay of two separate bets: the result and the corners total.
Corner combos come with a subscription: probability and fair odds for all 48 combinations.
Sign upAverage totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUmraniyesporSivassporCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners7.79.38.5
Cards1.73.04.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UmraniyesporSivasspor
Ümraniyespor 39%, Sivasspor 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 70%.
Ümraniyespor 39%Draw 30%Sivasspor 31%
1st half
31 · 44 · 25
2nd half
31 · 42 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Umraniyespor
- awayBandirmaspor1:0
- homeAntalyaspor1:2
- awayPendikspor0:1
- homeMuglaspor0:1
- awayKeciorengucu2:2
Sivasspor
- awayKeciorengucu1:1
- homeMuglaspor1:1
- awayAntalyaspor2:1
- homeMardin Buyuksehir2:2
- awayBatman Petrolspor1:2
Head to head
- 03/15/261. Lig0:1
- 11/01/251. Lig1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13
Manisa FK823312:129
Manisa FK823312:12914
Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü81527:68
Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü81527:6815Sivasspor81529:118
Sivasspor81529:11816Umraniyespor81346:96
Umraniyespor81346:9617
Vanspor81348:176
Vanspor81348:17618
Erokspor80534:105
Erokspor80534:105Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.