All matches

Ujpest — Puskas Akademia, NB I

Hungary, NB I

Ujpest
1.8WDWLD
—
Puskas Akademia
2.5WLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%26%34%
Ujpest40%Draw26%Puskas Akademia34%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ujpest40%2.48—
XDraw26%3.82—
2Puskas Akademia34%2.99—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.67

No40%

ours 2.49

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUjpestPuskas AkademiaCombined
Goals scored1.331.332.66
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners6.610.48.5
Cards2.02.24.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

UjpestPuskas Akademia

Újpest FC 40%, Puskás Ferenc Akadémia FC 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Újpest FC 40%Draw 26%Puskás Ferenc Akadémia FC 33%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
34 · 37 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Ujpest

  • homeZalaegerszeg2:1
  • awayFerencvaros2:2
  • homeVasas3:1
  • awayPaks0:2
  • homeMTK Budapest1:1

Puskas Akademia

  • homeKispest-Honved3:1
  • awayZalaegerszeg0:1
  • homeFerencvaros1:2
  • awayVasas1:0
  • homePaks3:2

Head to head

  • 04/25/26NB I0:2
  • 01/31/26NB I0:1
  • 10/04/25NB I0:0
  • 03/09/25NB I1:1
  • 11/02/24NB I1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1ETO Gyor843116:1015
2Puskas Akademia850313:1015
3Vasas842217:1114
4Ujpest842217:1314
5Ferencvaros733111:812
6Paks832316:1711

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.