Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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UC Sampdoria — ACD Virtus Entella, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
UC Sampdoria
WLLLD
ACD Virtus Entella
DWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%28%28%
UC Sampdoria44%Draw28%ACD Virtus Entella28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1UC Sampdoria2.28—
XDraw3.53—
2ACD Virtus Entella3.61—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUC SampdoriaACD Virtus EntellaCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded0.500.170.67
Corners9.56.58.0
Cards2.51.03.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UC SampdoriaACD Virtus Entella
UC Sampdoria 44%, ACD Virtus Entella 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
UC Sampdoria 44%Draw 28%ACD Virtus Entella 28%
1st half
34 · 43 · 24
2nd half
38 · 37 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
UC Sampdoria
- homeCatanzaro Calcio 20112:1
- awayMantova FC0:2
- awayUS Città di Palermo1:3
- homeSS Juve Stabia1:2
- awayAC Cesena1:1
ACD Virtus Entella
- awayUS Cremonese0:0
- awayAC Pisa 19094:1
- homeVicenza Calcio2:2
- homeAC Cesena1:2
- awayFC Südtirol0:1
Head to head
- 01/16/26Serie B1:1
- 10/17/25Serie B1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Empoli FC52034:66
Empoli FC52034:6613
Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:136
Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:13614ACD Virtus Entella51227:65
ACD Virtus Entella51227:6515
US Cremonese51225:75
US Cremonese51225:7516
Vicenza Calcio51227:105
Vicenza Calcio51227:10517
SS Juve Stabia51224:75
SS Juve Stabia51224:7518UC Sampdoria51135:94
UC Sampdoria51135:9419
Catanzaro Calcio 201151045:93
Catanzaro Calcio 201151045:9320
Carrarese Calcio50142:61
Carrarese Calcio50142:61Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.