All matches

Turan-T — Sabah, Premier League

Azerbaijan, Premier League

Turan-T
2.3DLWWD
  
Sabah
3.4LWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
18%25%57%
Turan-T18%Draw25%Sabah57%

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Turan-T18%5.49—
XDraw25%4.08—
2Sabah57%1.75—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.90

No47%

ours 2.11

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2904 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2896 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2886 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Turan-TSabah

Turan-T IK 18%, Sabah FK 57%. The safest is “Sabah FK or draw” at 82%.

Turan-T IK 18%Draw 25%Sabah FK 57%
1st half
27 · 44 · 29
2nd half
21 · 42 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Over 22.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTuran-TSabahCombined
Goals scored1.002.003.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Turan-T
  • Unbeaten at home in 4 matches1:0, 2:1, 0:0, 1:0, 1:2
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Sabah
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:2, 4:0, 2:0, 0:0, 3:1
  • League leaders — 19 points from 7 matches
  • Won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings2:1, 3:1, 2:0, 1:2, 2:1

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Turan-T

  • awayNeftchi Baku1:1
  • awayMil Mugan0:1
  • awaySafa1:0
  • homeZira1:0
  • awayAraz2:2

Sabah

  • homeBorussia Dortmund1:2
  • awayQabala4:0
  • homeSlavia Prague2:0
  • awayNeftchi Baku0:0
  • homeMil Mugan3:1

Head to head

  • 05/22/26Premier League1:2
  • 12/13/25Premier League1:3
  • 09/20/25Premier League0:2
  • 04/12/25Premier League2:1
  • 02/09/25Premier League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sabah761018:119
2Neftchi Baku953122:918
3Qarabag752014:717
4Turan-T94328:615
5Zira943212:1215
6Kapaz84229:914

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.