Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.65
No40%
ours 2.53
All matches
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TSV Alemannia Aachen — FC Hansa Rostock, 3. Liga
Germany, 3. Liga
TSV Alemannia Aachen
WLDWL
FC Hansa Rostock
DWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%25%30%
TSV Alemannia Aachen45%Draw25%FC Hansa Rostock30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1TSV Alemannia Aachen2.21—
XDraw4.08—
2FC Hansa Rostock3.31—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTSV Alemannia AachenFC Hansa RostockCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded0.501.331.83
Corners8.511.09.8
Cards2.83.36.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
TSV Alemannia AachenFC Hansa Rostock
TSV Alemannia Aachen 45%, FC Hansa Rostock 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
TSV Alemannia Aachen 45%Draw 25%FC Hansa Rostock 30%
1st half
40 · 35 · 25
2nd half
32 · 35 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 6.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
TSV Alemannia Aachen
- homeDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 18951:0
- awayFC Würzburger Kickers0:1
- homeSSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg2:2
- awayFC Ingolstadt 043:0
- homeSV Meppen 19120:3
FC Hansa Rostock
- awayRot-Weiss Essen1:1
- homeVfB Stuttgart 1893 II3:2
- awayFC Viktoria Köln0:4
- homeSV Wehen Wiesbaden1:1
- away1. FC Saarbrucken4:2
Head to head
- 05/02/263. Liga1:1
- 12/07/253. Liga2:2
- 03/16/253. Liga2:1
- 10/19/243. Liga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
1. FC Saarbrucken741219:1213
1. FC Saarbrucken741219:12135
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II741214:813
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II741214:8136FC Hansa Rostock733115:1512
FC Hansa Rostock733115:15127TSV Alemannia Aachen732211:811
TSV Alemannia Aachen732211:8118
SC Preußen 06 Münster732212:1311
SC Preußen 06 Münster732212:13119
SV Waldhof Mannheim 07731311:1010
SV Waldhof Mannheim 07731311:1010Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.