Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92book 1.71
No48%
ours 2.08book 2.02
All matches
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Tranmere Rovers — Rochdale, EFL League Two
England, EFL League Two
Tranmere Rovers
LDDLW
Rochdale
WWWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%26%30%
Tranmere RoversMarket 1.9844%DrawMarket 3.4626%RochdaleMarket 3.5030%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tranmere Rovers2.281.98-6.7
XDraw3.813.46-2.6
2Rochdale3.343.50+1.4
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos: result and total
Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.
Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.
Sign upCombos: result and corners
The result comes from the goals model, corners from the corners model. The link between them is measured on 66,000 played matches: the winning side usually takes fewer corners, because the team chasing the game does the crossing. The market has no ready line for these combinations, so «Market» here is a parlay of two separate bets: the result and the corners total.
Corner combos come with a subscription: probability and fair odds for all 48 combinations.
Sign upAverage totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTranmere RoversRochdaleCombined
Goals scored1.171.502.67
Conceded1.500.832.33
Corners10.09.89.9
Cards2.31.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Tranmere RoversRochdale
Tranmere Rovers FC 44%, Rochdale AFC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Tranmere Rovers FC 44%Draw 26%Rochdale AFC 30%
1st half
30 · 47 · 23
2nd half
38 · 37 · 26
Bookmakers: 1.98 · 3.46 · 3.50
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%1.36
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Tranmere Rovers
- awayChesterfield2:4
- homeWalsall1:1
- awayExeter City0:0
- awayGillingham0:2
- homeOldham Athletic2:0
Rochdale
- homeSwindon Town1:0
- awayFleetwood Town2:1
- homeOldham Athletic2:0
- awayWalsall0:0
- homeGillingham1:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Grimsby Town934213:1013
Grimsby Town934213:101310
Gillingham934211:913
Gillingham934211:91311Rochdale941410:1113
Rochdale941410:111312Tranmere Rovers925212:1211
Tranmere Rovers925212:121113
Swindon Town93249:1311
Swindon Town93249:131114
Shrewsbury Town93249:1411
Shrewsbury Town93249:1411Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.