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Throttur Reykjavik 1:0 Fylkir, 1. Deild: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Iceland, 1. DeildMatch finished

1:0HT 0:0
2.2LDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
54%22%24%
Throttur ReykjavikPrice 1.7854%DrawPrice 3.6622%FylkirPrice 3.6524%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.00xG0.00
53Possession, %47
11Shots3
11Shots on target3
10Corners2
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
10Fouls12
0Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 70 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Throttur Reykjavik54%
  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.567%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 33%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes66%

    Actual: No — we had 34%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Throttur Reykjavik54%53%1.851.78+1.5
XDraw22%24%4.483.66-1.3
2Fylkir24%24%4.243.65-0.1

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Throttur Reykjavik

  • homeFylkir1:0
  • homeUMF Njardvik2:1
  • awayUMF Njardvik1:0
  • awayVestri2:0
  • homeAegir7:2

Fylkir

  • awayThrottur Reykjavik0:1
  • homeHK Kopavogur2:2
  • awayHK Kopavogur3:2
  • awayHK Kopavogur1:2
  • homeGrotta3:1

Head to head

  • 09/19/261. Deild1:0
  • 08/17/261. Deild3:1
  • 06/06/261. Deild3:1
  • 07/29/251. Deild2:1
  • 05/23/251. Deild2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Throttur Reykjavik25164554:2652
2UMF Afturelding22143565:3345
3Fylkir25142954:4144
4HK Kopavogur24123956:4539
5UMF Njardvik241221039:3238

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.