Both teams to score
Yes44%
ours 2.29
No56%
ours 1.77
All matches
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TNS — Ammanford, Welsh Premier League
Wales, Welsh Premier League
TNS
3.7WWWWW
Ammanford
1.5WLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
91%
TNS91%Draw8%Ammanford1%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1TNS1.10—
XDraw12.79—
2Ammanford92.59—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTNSAmmanfordCombined
Goals scored3.500.834.33
Conceded0.332.673.00
Corners11.87.29.5
Cards0.81.01.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
TNSAmmanford
The New Saints FC 91%, Ammanford AFC 1%. The safest is “The New Saints FC or draw” at 99%.
The New Saints FC 91%Draw 8%Ammanford AFC 1%
1st half
72 · 22 · 6
2nd half
65 · 26 · 9
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half result: Home
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
TNS
- homeCambrian & Clydach Vale9:0
- awayTrefelin3:1
- homeLlandudno2:1
- homeFlint Town United5:0
- awayAirbus UK2:0
Ammanford
- homeHolywell Town2:1
- awayFlint Town United0:3
- homePenybont1:5
- awayBarry Town United2:2
- homeCaernarfon Town0:5
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1TNS12111038:534
TNS12111038:5342
Connah's Quay1291228:828
Connah's Quay1291228:8283
Penybont1283122:1027
Penybont1283122:10274
Barry Town United1281327:2025
Barry Town United1281327:20255
Caernarfon Town1272335:1423
Caernarfon Town1272335:14236
Colwyn Bay1271421:1522
Colwyn Bay1271421:15227
Cardiff Metropolitan University1263323:1321
Cardiff Metropolitan University1263323:13218
Airbus UK1260621:1718
Airbus UK1260621:17189
Cambrian & Clydach Vale1253421:3218
Cambrian & Clydach Vale1253421:321810
Llandudno1251621:1916
Llandudno1251621:191611
Briton Ferry Llansawel1233611:2012
Briton Ferry Llansawel1233611:201212
Haverfordwest123187:1710
Haverfordwest123187:171013
Flint Town United1222812:248
Flint Town United1222812:24814Ammanford121389:326
Ammanford121389:32615
Trefelin120395:303
Trefelin120395:30316
Holywell Town12021013:382
Holywell Town12021013:382Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.