Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.50
All matches
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Tamworth — Woking, National League
England, National League
Tamworth
WWLWL
Woking
WLWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
32%24%44%
Tamworth32%Draw24%Woking44%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tamworth3.11—
XDraw4.20—
2Woking2.27—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTamworthWokingCombined
Goals scored0.671.672.34
Conceded0.831.172.00
Corners11.08.09.5
Cards1.32.33.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
TamworthWoking
Tamworth FC 32%, Woking FC 44%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Tamworth FC 32%Draw 24%Woking FC 44%
1st half
26 · 41 · 33
2nd half
29 · 33 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Away or draw
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Tamworth
- awayHartlepool United1:0
- homeSutton United2:0
- awayAldershot Town1:5
- homeWealdstone2:1
- awaySouthend United1:3
Woking
- awayEastleigh3:1
- homeSolihull Moors2:4
- awayCarlisle United5:2
- homeKidderminster Harriers0:0
- awayBoston United1:1
Head to head
- 03/07/26National League1:3
- 11/08/25National League0:1
- 02/15/25National League1:1
- 10/19/24National League3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13
Halifax Town1252518:1417
Halifax Town1252518:141714
Carlisle United1244423:2016
Carlisle United1244423:201615Woking1243520:1915
Woking1243520:191516
Forest Green Rovers1143417:1815
Forest Green Rovers1143417:181517
Eastleigh1243514:1815
Eastleigh1243514:181518Tamworth1242620:2814
Tamworth1242620:281419
Wealdstone1233617:1812
Wealdstone1233617:181220
Boston United1233614:2112
Boston United1233614:2112Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.