All matches

Levadia — Tammeka Tartu, Meistriliiga

Estonia, Meistriliiga

Levadia
4.1DWWWW
—
Tammeka Tartu
1.4LLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
77%15%
Levadia77%Draw15%Tammeka Tartu8%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Levadia77%1.31—
XDraw15%6.52—
2Tammeka Tartu8%12.41—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.90

No47%

ours 2.11

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLevadiaTammeka TartuCombined
Goals scored1.170.171.34
Conceded0.171.501.67
Corners14.011.012.5
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

LevadiaTammeka Tartu

Tallinna FC Levadia 77%, JK Tammeka Tartu 8%. The safest is “Tallinna FC Levadia or draw” at 91%.

Tallinna FC Levadia 77%Draw 15%JK Tammeka Tartu 8%
1st half
58 · 29 · 12
2nd half
48 · 35 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 4.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Levadia

  • awayNarva Trans1:1
  • homeTammeka Tartu6:0
  • homeVaprus Parnu4:0
  • homeKuressaare4:0
  • awayPaide2:0

Tammeka Tartu

  • homeNomme Kalju1:3
  • awayLevadia0:6
  • awayKuressaare3:1
  • homePaide0:2
  • awayHarju Jalgpallikool2:0

Head to head

  • 09/17/26Meistriliiga6:0
  • 05/30/26Meistriliiga1:0
  • 04/22/26Meistriliiga2:1
  • 10/05/25Meistriliiga3:0
  • 09/13/25Meistriliiga2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Levadia29226181:2172
2Flora291811059:3955
3Paide29156848:3651
4Nomme Kalju29155952:2750
5Tammeka Tartu291421337:4744
6Harju Jalgpallikool291221541:4638
7Vaprus Parnu29941638:5831

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.