Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.04book 1.65
No51%
ours 1.96book 2.07
All matches
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Syunik — Shirak, Premier League
Armenia, Premier League
Syunik
1.5LLDLD
Shirak
1.2LLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%28%30%
SyunikMarket 3.4042%DrawMarket 3.4028%ShirakMarket 1.9230%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Syunik2.373.40+12.8
XDraw3.573.40-1.4
2Shirak3.351.92-22.3
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SyunikShirak
Syunik 42%, Shirak FC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.
Syunik 42%Draw 28%Shirak FC 30%
1st half
29 · 45 · 26
2nd half
31 · 41 · 28
Bookmakers: 3.40 · 3.40 · 1.92
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 2.5
68%1.90
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSyunikShirakCombined
Goals scored0.331.331.66
Conceded1.831.002.83
Corners9.814.011.9
Cards2.31.23.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Syunik
- homeArarat Yerevan0:1
- awayAvan Academy0:3
- homePyunik0:0
- awaySardarapat1:3
- awayVan1:1
Shirak
- homeAvan Academy1:3
- awayPyunik0:2
- homeSardarapat2:0
- awayVan4:0
- homeUrartu0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Sardarapat833214:1212
Sardarapat833214:12126
Urartu832312:1011
Urartu832312:10117Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:1399
CSKA Yerevan82248:108
CSKA Yerevan82248:10810
Van81164:214
Van81164:21411
Gandzasar Kapan81078:203
Gandzasar Kapan81078:20312Syunik80263:172
Syunik80263:172Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.