Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
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Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers, Championship
England, Championship
Swansea City
2.0WWLDW
Blackburn Rovers
1.4DWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%26%21%
Swansea City53%Draw26%Blackburn Rovers21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Swansea City1.89—
XDraw3.89—
2Blackburn Rovers4.68—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSwansea CityBlackburn RoversCombined
Goals scored0.830.831.66
Conceded0.330.500.83
Corners5.512.08.8
Cards1.53.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Swansea CityBlackburn Rovers
Swansea City AFC 53%, Blackburn Rovers FC 21%. The safest is “Swansea City AFC or draw” at 77%.
Swansea City AFC 53%Draw 26%Blackburn Rovers FC 21%
1st half
40 · 39 · 21
2nd half
36 · 40 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Swansea City
- awayLincoln City2:1
- homeBurnley3:1
- awaySouthampton1:3
- homeWrexham0:0
- homeWatford2:0
Blackburn Rovers
- awayPortsmouth2:2
- homeMillwall3:1
- homeSheffield United1:2
- awayPreston1:2
- awayLincoln City0:0
Head to head
- 01/20/26Championship3:1
- 09/30/25Championship2:1
- 02/22/25Championship3:0
- 10/19/24Championship0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Swansea City852113:617
Swansea City852113:6172
West Ham843122:1115
West Ham843122:11153
Middlesbrough843116:1215
Middlesbrough843116:12154
Southampton842219:1014
Southampton842219:10145
Wolverhampton742115:1014
Wolverhampton742115:10146
West Bromwich842210:814
West Bromwich842210:8147
QPR834110:713
QPR834110:7138
Stoke City841313:1213
Stoke City841313:12139
Bristol City841311:1213
Bristol City841311:121310
Charlton Athletic83327:1012
Charlton Athletic83327:101211
Birmingham City825112:1111
Birmingham City825112:111112
Millwall832315:1511
Millwall832315:151113
Lincoln City83237:811
Lincoln City83237:81114
Wrexham82429:1210
Wrexham82429:121015
Bolton Wanderers831411:1510
Bolton Wanderers831411:151016Blackburn Rovers823312:129
Blackburn Rovers823312:12917
Norwich City830516:179
Norwich City830516:17918
Sheffield United82339:119
Sheffield United82339:119Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.