All matches

SV Meppen 1912 — VfB Stuttgart 1893 II, 3. Liga

Germany, 3. Liga

SV Meppen 1912
LLLLW
—
VfB Stuttgart 1893 II
DLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%25%27%
SV Meppen 191249%Draw25%VfB Stuttgart 1893 II27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SV Meppen 191249%2.05—
XDraw25%4.07—
2VfB Stuttgart 1893 II27%3.74—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.74

No42%

ours 2.36

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSV Meppen 1912VfB Stuttgart 1893 IICombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded2.002.174.17
Corners9.78.59.1
Cards3.72.76.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SV Meppen 1912VfB Stuttgart 1893 II

SV Meppen 1912 49%, VfB Stuttgart 1893 II 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

SV Meppen 1912 49%Draw 25%VfB Stuttgart 1893 II 27%
1st half
44 · 36 · 20
2nd half
32 · 37 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

SV Meppen 1912

  • awayTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II0:1
  • homeFC Viktoria Köln1:3
  • awaySC Verl 19241:2
  • home1. FC Saarbrucken1:6
  • awayTSV Alemannia Aachen3:0

VfB Stuttgart 1893 II

  • homeSSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg3:3
  • awayFC Hansa Rostock2:3
  • homeSC Preußen 06 Münster1:2
  • awayFC Würzburger Kickers2:1
  • awayDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 18950:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13SG Sonnenhof Großaspach72236:98
14FC Ingolstadt 0472237:118
15VfB Stuttgart 1893 II721412:157
16FC Würzburger Kickers721411:157
17SV Meppen 191272058:156
18SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg712413:175
19SV Wehen Wiesbaden71245:135

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.