Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.77
No43%
ours 2.31
All matches
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Darmstadt 98 — St. Pauli, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt 98
1.7LWLLL
St. Pauli
0.9DWDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%25%37%
Darmstadt 9838%Draw25%St. Pauli37%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Darmstadt 982.64—
XDraw3.95—
2St. Pauli2.72—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDarmstadt 98St. PauliCombined
Goals scored0.500.831.33
Conceded1.670.832.50
Corners12.510.811.6
Cards2.02.84.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Darmstadt 98St. Pauli
SV Darmstadt 1898 38%, FC St. Pauli 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
SV Darmstadt 1898 38%Draw 25%FC St. Pauli 37%
1st half
31 · 40 · 29
2nd half
29 · 37 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Darmstadt 98
- awayWolfsburg1:5
- homeArminia Bielefeld2:1
- awayKaiserslautern0:3
- homeHannover 960:1
- awayDynamo Dresden0:1
St. Pauli
- awayEnergie Cottbus1:1
- homeWolfsburg1:0
- awayArminia Bielefeld2:2
- homeKaiserslautern1:2
- awayHolstein Kiel2:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Magdeburg631211:910
Magdeburg631211:9107
Energie Cottbus622214:138
Energie Cottbus622214:1388St. Pauli61418:87
St. Pauli61418:879
VfL Bochum62135:67
VfL Bochum62135:6710
Hannover 9662137:97
Hannover 9662137:9711
Osnabruck62139:127
Osnabruck62139:12712
Greuther Furth61329:116
Greuther Furth61329:11613
Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
Arminia Bielefeld612310:12514
Karlsruher SC61236:125
Karlsruher SC61236:12515
Eintracht Braunschweig611412:134
Eintracht Braunschweig611412:13416
Holstein Kiel60427:104
Holstein Kiel60427:10417
Dynamo Dresden61148:144
Dynamo Dresden61148:14418Darmstadt 9861145:134
Darmstadt 9861145:134Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.