Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.59
No37%
ours 2.71
All matches
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Supra du Québec — York9 FC, Canadian Premier League
Canada, Canadian Premier League
Supra du Québec
WWLWL
York9 FC
LWLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
55%24%21%
Supra du Québec55%Draw24%York9 FC21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Supra du Québec1.82—
XDraw4.16—
2York9 FC4.76—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSupra du QuébecYork9 FCCombined
Goals scored1.501.833.33
Conceded1.502.333.83
Corners8.28.48.3
Cards2.63.46.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Supra du QuébecYork9 FC
Supra du Québec 55%, York9 FC 21%. The safest is “Supra du Québec or draw” at 81%.
Supra du Québec 55%Draw 24%York9 FC 21%
1st half
43 · 32 · 26
2nd half
55 · 31 · 13
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Supra du Québec
- awayYork9 FC2:1
- homePacific FC5:0
- awayCavalry FC0:6
- awayAtlético Ottawa2:0
- homeHFX Wanderers FC0:2
York9 FC
- homeSupra du Québec1:2
- homeCavalry FC3:1
- homePacific FC3:4
- awayVancouver FC3:3
- awayHFX Wanderers FC1:4
Head to head
- 10/07/26Canadian Premier League2:1
- 08/23/26Canadian Premier League1:1
- 05/29/26Canadian Premier League3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Atlético Ottawa25124938:4140
Atlético Ottawa25124938:41404
Vancouver FC25961035:3333
Vancouver FC25961035:33335Supra du Québec25941238:4531
Supra du Québec25941238:45316
HFX Wanderers FC25761238:4227
HFX Wanderers FC25761238:42277York9 FC25691040:5627
York9 FC25691040:56278
Pacific FC25281530:5514
Pacific FC25281530:5514Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.