Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.55
No36%
ours 2.81
All matches
—
Stromsgodset — Kongsvinger IL, First Division
Norway, First Division
Stromsgodset
1.0WWWDW
Kongsvinger IL
WWDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%24%30%
Stromsgodset47%Draw24%Kongsvinger IL30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Stromsgodset2.13—
XDraw4.24—
2Kongsvinger IL3.38—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricStromsgodsetKongsvinger ILCombined
Goals scored1.833.505.33
Conceded0.671.171.84
Corners12.412.212.3
Cards0.61.62.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
StromsgodsetKongsvinger IL
Strømsgodset IF 47%, Kongsvinger IL 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Strømsgodset IF 47%Draw 24%Kongsvinger IL 30%
1st half
41 · 35 · 24
2nd half
48 · 27 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Stromsgodset
- homeÅsane Fotball1:0
- awayRaufoss IL2:0
- homeSandnes Ulf4:1
- awayOdds1:1
- awaySogndal Fotball3:2
Kongsvinger IL
- awayMoss FK2:0
- homeIL Hødd5:1
- awayEgersunds IK1:1
- homeRaufoss IL9:1
- homeFC Lyn Oslo4:4
Head to head
- 06/21/26First Division4:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Haugesund24181574:3955
Haugesund24181574:39552Kongsvinger IL24165370:3553
Kongsvinger IL24165370:35533Stromsgodset24156361:3151
Stromsgodset24156361:31514
Stabæk Fotball24143757:3145
Stabæk Fotball24143757:31455
Odds24116750:3839
Odds24116750:3839Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.