All matches

Rennes — OFI, UEFA Europa League

Europe, UEFA Europa League

Rennes
2.3LDWWW
—
OFI
1.9DWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
74%15%11%
Rennes74%Draw15%OFI11%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rennes74%1.35—
XDraw15%6.49—
2OFI11%9.43—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.69

No41%

ours 2.46

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRennesOFICombined
Goals scored1.001.332.33
Conceded1.170.671.84
Corners12.08.610.3
Cards1.41.83.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

RennesOFI

Stade Rennais FC 74%, OFI FC 11%. The safest is “Stade Rennais FC or draw” at 89%.

Stade Rennais FC 74%Draw 15%OFI FC 11%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 4.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Rennes

  • awayLyon0:4
  • awaySturm Graz0:0
  • homeMarseille1:0
  • awayAngers2:1
  • homeLe Mans3:2

OFI

  • homeAsteras Tripolis2:2
  • homeHoffenheim2:0
  • awayOlympiakos1:0
  • homeKifisias2:0
  • awayAris Thessaloniki1:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Jagiellonia531110:510
9Omonia53117:410
10OFI33007:09
11Maccabi Tel Aviv43019:49
12Qarabag42206:08
13PAOK42027:66
14Hradec Kralove42024:36
15Hajduk Split42025:66
16Universitatea Craiova41214:45
17Egnatia41127:64
18Paphos41127:64
19Lillestrom31113:34
20Avan Academy31113:54
21Iberia 199941123:74
22Thun41127:124
23Sheriff41121:64
24Juventus11005:03
25Crystal Palace11004:03
26Sparta Prague11004:13
27Union Saint-Gilloise11003:03
28Bayer Leverkusen11002:03
29Bournemouth11002:13
30Lyon11002:13
31Olympiakos11002:13
32Torreense11002:13
33Sunderland11001:03
34Red Star Belgrade21014:53
35Sint-Truiden21013:43
36Zilina21012:33
37Viktoria Plzen31025:73
38Shamrock Rovers21014:63
39Vikingur Reykjavik21013:53
40Kauno Zalgiris21011:33
41St. Gallen21012:63
42U Cluj20200:02
43Dynamo Kyiv40222:52
44Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:01
45Sturm Graz10100:01
46Rennes10100:01
47Dinamo Zagreb10100:01
48Twente20113:41

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.