All matches

Stade de Reims — FC Sochaux-Montbéliard, Ligue 2

France, Ligue 2

Stade de Reims
1.4DWDWW
—
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard
DWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
57%25%18%
Stade de Reims57%Draw25%FC Sochaux-Montbéliard18%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Stade de Reims57%1.76—
XDraw25%4.05—
2FC Sochaux-Montbéliard18%5.43—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.90

No47%

ours 2.11

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricStade de ReimsFC Sochaux-MontbéliardCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.670.331.00
Corners5.79.37.5
Cards1.71.73.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Stade de ReimsFC Sochaux-Montbéliard

Stade de Reims 57%, FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 18%. The safest is “Stade de Reims or draw” at 83%.

Stade de Reims 57%Draw 25%FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 18%
1st half
47 · 36 · 17
2nd half
41 · 40 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Stade de Reims

  • homeMontpellier HSC1:1
  • awayAS Nancy-Lorraine2:1
  • homeEn Avant Guingamp2:2
  • awayRed Star FC 934:1
  • homeFC Annecy3:1

FC Sochaux-Montbéliard

  • awayStade Lavallois Mayenne FC1:1
  • homeFC Nantes1:0
  • awayPau FC1:1
  • awayClermont Foot 630:0
  • homeEn Avant Guingamp1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1AS Saint-Étienne751119:816
2Red Star FC 9374219:714
3Stade de Reims734015:913
4Montpellier HSC73316:512
5FC Metz724110:710
6AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:710
7FC Annecy73139:910
8FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:510
9Dijon FCO723210:109
10Pau FC72236:68

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.