All matches

Stade de Reims — Dijon FCO, Ligue 2

France, Ligue 2

Stade de Reims
1.4DWDWW
—
Dijon FCO
WWDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%24%23%
Stade de Reims53%Draw24%Dijon FCO23%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Stade de Reims53%1.89—
XDraw24%4.12—
2Dijon FCO23%4.39—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.64

No39%

ours 2.56

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricStade de ReimsDijon FCOCombined
Goals scored2.001.503.50
Conceded1.001.332.33
Corners6.69.07.8
Cards1.81.83.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Stade de ReimsDijon FCO

Stade de Reims 53%, Dijon FCO 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Stade de Reims 53%Draw 24%Dijon FCO 23%
1st half
42 · 35 · 23
2nd half
40 · 33 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Stade de Reims

  • homeMontpellier HSC1:1
  • awayAS Nancy-Lorraine2:1
  • homeEn Avant Guingamp2:2
  • awayRed Star FC 934:1
  • homeFC Annecy3:1

Dijon FCO

  • awayFC Annecy2:1
  • homeStade Lavallois Mayenne FC3:2
  • awayUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale1:1
  • homeAS Saint-Étienne2:3
  • awayClermont Foot 631:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1AS Saint-Étienne751119:816
2Red Star FC 9374219:714
3Stade de Reims734015:913
4Montpellier HSC73316:512
5FC Metz724110:710
6AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:710
7FC Annecy73139:910
8FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:510
9Dijon FCO723210:109
10Pau FC72236:68
11En Avant Guingamp722310:128

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.