All matches

Stabæk Fotball — Odds, First Division

Norway, First Division

Stabæk Fotball
LWLLL
—
Odds
1.2WWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%24%27%
Stabæk Fotball49%Draw24%Odds27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Stabæk Fotball49%2.03—
XDraw24%4.22—
2Odds27%3.71—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.60

No38%

ours 2.66

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricStabæk FotballOddsCombined
Goals scored0.331.501.83
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners9.713.311.5
Cards1.72.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Stabæk FotballOdds

Stabæk Fotball 49%, Odds BK 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Stabæk Fotball 49%Draw 24%Odds BK 27%
1st half
41 · 33 · 26
2nd half
36 · 35 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 9.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Stabæk Fotball

  • awayHaugesund0:2
  • homeSogndal Fotball2:1
  • awayBryne FK0:2
  • homeMoss FK2:3
  • awayIL Hødd1:2

Odds

  • awayIL Hødd3:2
  • homeEgersunds IK5:1
  • awayRaufoss IL1:2
  • homeStromsgodset1:1
  • awayRanheim Fotball5:3

Head to head

  • 04/19/26First Division2:2
  • 10/05/25First Division2:2
  • 07/30/25First Division0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Kongsvinger IL24165370:3553
3Stromsgodset24156361:3151
4Stabæk Fotball24143757:3145
5Odds24116750:3839
6Bryne FK241221033:3138
7IL Hødd241041040:4834

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.